Macro

Rates, labor, inflation, oil and the dollar — the regime inputs. · fred

Fed Funds Rate2026-06-09

3.62%

2Y Treasury2026-06-09

4.13%-0.02

10Y Treasury2026-06-09

4.53%-0.03

10Y–2Y Spread2026-06-10

0.42%+0.02

Unemployment Rate2026-05-01

4.30%

CPI YoY2026-05-01

4.27%+0.32

Initial Jobless Claims2026-05-30

225.0K+13.0K

WTI Crude2026-06-08

$95.00+0.68

Dollar Index (Broad)2026-06-05

120.1+0.72

Nonfarm Payrolls2026-05-01

159.0M+172.0K

M2 Money Supply2026-04-01

22.80T+118.10B

Consumer Sentiment (UMich)2026-04-01

49.8-3.50

10Y Breakeven Inflation2026-06-10

2.34%+0.01

Banks Tightening C&I (SLOOS)2026-04-01

8.10%+2.80

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